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UPA Perpustakaan Universitas Jember

Robust Bayesian regression with the forward search: theory and data analysis

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The frequentist forward search yields a flexible and informative form of
robust regression. The device of fictitious observations provides a natural way to
include prior information in the search. However, this extension is not straightforward,
requiring weighted regression. Bayesian versions of forward plots are used to exhibit
the presence of multiple outliers in a data set from banking with 1903 observations
and nine explanatory variables which shows, in this case, the clear advantages from
including prior information in the forward search. Use of observation weights from
frequentist robust regression is shown to provide a simple general method for robust
Bayesian regression.

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